{"id":1788,"date":"2023-06-26T15:08:21","date_gmt":"2023-06-26T15:08:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ecosocialist.scot\/?p=1788"},"modified":"2023-06-26T15:08:21","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T15:08:21","slug":"prigozhins-march-what-was-it-all-about","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ecosocialist.scot\/?p=1788","title":{"rendered":"\u201cPrigozhin\u2019s March\u201d: What Was It All About?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
The Posle Editorial Collective assess Wagner\u2019s mutiny and its consequences:\u00a0<\/em><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
The events of June 23-24 are already being described as the most serious domestic political challenge to Putin\u2019s regime. In a matter of hours, Wagner units managed with little resistance to take control of Rostov-on-Don and Voronezh, major cities in southern Russia. They even got a few hundred kilometers outside of Moscow. By announcing the start of a military rebellion, Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin openly challenged the necessity for a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, demanded the removal of Russia\u2019s military leadership, and claimed his goal was the restoration of \u201cjustice.\u201d And while the conflict was resolved with little blood it seems to have forever undermined Putin\u2019s promise of stability and regime\u2019s unity.<\/div>\n
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\n

There\u2019s no doubt Prigozhin is a war criminal and an opportunist pursuing his personal interests. In the months leading up to the mutiny, Prigozhin made numerous statements bashing the Russian military leadership trying to take control of Wagner units staffed by both former Russian prisoners and retired army officers. Yevgeny Prigozhin, who owes his career to Putin\u2019s patronage and has extensive connections in the state security apparatus, has turned out to be the most aware of the regime\u2019s weaknesses and the vulnerability of Putin\u2019s \u201cchain of command.\u201d Generals Surovikin and Alekseev, who have played key roles in the so-called \u201cspecial military operation\u201d in Ukraine, publicly called on Prigozhin to \u201ccome to his senses\u201d and \u201cresolve the matter peacefully.\u201d Most of the army stood in silent neutrality toward the rebels. Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov, whom Prigozhin demanded to meet, never commented on what was happening and disappeared. Note that the leaflets distributed by Wagner not only called for their resignation, but also for an immediate court martial for Shoigu and Gerasimov on accusations of the brutal treatment of soldiers, poor supplies to the army, and concealing the truth about the course of the war.<\/p>\n

On the morning of June 24, Vladimir Putin delivered an urgent five-minute address to the nation. He called Wagner\u2019s rebellion a \u201cstab in the back\u201d of the Russian army but did not mention any specific actions to crush it down. Putin highlighted the moral and political dimensions of the mutiny and called it a betrayal deserving of the harshest response. He blamed the mutineers for putting Russia on the brink of civil war and military defeat. Yet, the Russian president did not mention any names, revealing his poor preparedness and uncertainty about the situation. Several thousand-armed columns of the Wagner fighters crossed a vast distance in less than a day and voluntarily stopped 200 kilometers short of Moscow. At the same time, President Putin, presumably, rushed out of the capital, recording his addresses from his remote country residence in Valdai. Regional governors and pro-Kremlin politicians swore allegiance to the president and the constitutional order on social media only a few hours after the mutiny\u2019s outbreak.<\/p>\n

Predictably, some forces, factions, and citizens did not follow the president\u2019s call to resist the traitors and expressed their support for the rebels. These include neo-Nazis on both sides of the front: the Russian Volunteer Corps fighting alongside the Ukrainian armed forces and the Rusich sabotage group, which has been engaged in armed conflict with Ukraine since 2014 as a Russian proxy. Prigozhin responded unambiguously to Putin\u2019s message. He stated that the president was \u201cwrong\u201d about Wagner\u2019s betrayal, called himself and his fighters \u201cpatriots of the motherland,\u201d accused Moscow officials of corruption, and refused to back down. Seeking to expand his support, Prigozhin voiced two hallmark claims of the anti-Putin opposition: Russian regions should oppose Moscow for expropriating the country\u2019s resources and the Russian leadership is made up of crooks and corrupt officials and should be exposed and brought to justice.<\/p>\n

Despite Prigozhin relying solely on the armed units, the program he announced was supposed to lend popular legitimacy to the coup d\u2019etat. People in Rostov-on-Don cheered Wagner\u2019s fighters as heroes, demonstrating that Prigozhin\u2019s slogans could gain mass support. The attempted Wagner mutiny also revealed the unwillingness of the security services to actively intervene in the situation.<\/p>\n

Prigozhin\u2019s \u201cmarch of justice\u201d ended as unexpectedly as it began. The Belarusian dictator Lukashenko brokered an agreement between Wagner and the Kremlin. According to its terms, Prigozhin was to withdraw his units and the mutineers were to be spared punishment for their alleged \u201cfeats of arms.\u201d The agreements with Lukashenko also seem to include secret provisions granting Wagner certain autonomy and defining the framework for further relations with the military leadership. The deal was guaranteed by the \u201cword of the President of Russia,\u201d as Putin\u2019s spokesman Dmitry Peskov later stated. In other words, the public is kept in the dark as to the terms and content of these unofficial agreements. Although all Russian military units and ordinary citizens were called upon to participate in the mutiny and to resist the rebels, the crisis was resolved by a conspiracy between two war criminals with the Belorussian autocrat playing the role of both a broker and an umpire.<\/p>\n

While the consequences of these events are difficult to predict, it\u2019s already clear that they have forever changed Putin\u2019s political system. If this attempted military insurgency was so successful, why can\u2019t this example inspire future attempts to build on its success? Contradictions within Russia\u2019s elites have spilled over from the media into the reality of Russian cities and the armed forces. The whole world has witnessed that they were (temporarily) resolved outside any legal framework with the compromise guaranteed by Putin\u2019s \u201cword.\u201d In Russia, the rule of law has given way to mafia codes. Words backed up by violence are stronger than the prosecutor\u2019s office or even the president\u2019s declarations of imminent punishment. The war unleashed by Putin\u2019s regime is becoming an ever more apparent threat to its stability and will inevitably result in its eventual collapse. What form will this breakdown take? And could Russia\u2019s intimidated and disempowered masses come to the fore? These questions remain open.<\/p>\n

26 June 2023<\/i><\/p>\n

Republished from Posle<\/strong><\/a>.
\nPosle [\u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435 – After’ in Russian Language] is a website in Russian and English created in May 2022 to reflect on questions raised by the war in Ukraine for Ukraine and Russia.<\/i><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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The Posle Editorial Collective assess Wagner\u2019s mutiny and its consequences:\u00a0 The events of June 23-24…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1790,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[54,77,72],"class_list":["post-1788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international-news","tag-international-politics","tag-russia","tag-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cPrigozhin\u2019s March\u201d: What Was It All About? - ecosocialist.scot<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ecosocialist.scot\/?p=1788\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cPrigozhin\u2019s March\u201d: What Was It All About? 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